HEAD OF U.S. CENTRAL COMMAND SAYS IRAQ COULD BE HEADED FOR CIVIL WAR

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HEAD OF U.S. CENTRAL COMMAND SAYS IRAQ COULD BE HEADED FOR CIVIL WAR


[+] serious ballot by cranky
ACTIVE Mon Aug 07, 06 - Sat May 02, 09

"I believe that the sectarian violence is probably as bad as I've seen it, in Baghdad in particular, and that if not stopped it is possible that Iraq could move toward civil war," Gen. John Abizaid testified at a hearing before the Senate Armed Services Committee.

Fueling this possibility, he said, was the combination of "sectarian violence, al Qaeda terrorists, insurgents and Shia militants."
(CNN, Aug. 03, 2006)

What do you think, does the American general's comments, made before Congress, persuade you that Iraq could be headed for civil war?


Yes, the I agree with the General
Oh no, Bush and Rumsfeld say it isn't so.
No problem. neo-cons, by the thousands, will join the military and head for Baghdad
No
Even if it is... So what??? It was still in the best interest of the USA to invade.


Ballot #100105 : SEE RESULTS

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COMMENTS:
Voted : Yes, the I agree with the General
I believe Iraq has been in a low-grade civil war since 2003.
by Cathexis on Mon Aug 07, 06 7:59am [+]

I disagree. Sectarianism does not always equate to civil war. There needs to be more separate political organisation on both sides of the militancy.
by xxxxxxxx on Mon Aug 07, 06 8:20am [+]

Lack of political organisation of militas means it is not a civil war, but merely relatively disorganised sectarian clashes.
by xxxxxxxx on Mon Aug 07, 06 8:42am [+]

What Cathexis said Iraq has been in a low grade civil war since 2003.To pretend that the sectarian violence is not a part of a civil war would be silly.
by Corrupt on Mon Aug 07, 06 8:46am [+]

Corrupt- point out the political organisation of the militias in question. Lack of such organisation equates to no civil war. If it is to attributed as 'civil war', then so is Thailand and many other countries. Several terrorist cells does not make up a civil war. A civil war must have two or more politically organised armies. Let us not exaggerate the sectarianism and terrorist violence in Iraq to be of that nature.
by xxxxxxxx on Mon Aug 07, 06 9:07am [+]

If anything, Afghanistan is much more engaged in a civil war than Iraq is- as the oppositional Taliban are very organised, are more than just terrorist cells, and contitute a guerilla army.
by xxxxxxxx on Mon Aug 07, 06 9:09am [+]

3,000 people are dying per month in Iraq through military violence - Iraqi killing Iraqi - but it's not a civil war because you can't make organizational charts of the groups involved?
by cranky on Mon Aug 07, 06 9:46am [+]

Some very interesting comments here.

I do find it strange that a nation like Colombia has 3,000 to 4,000 terrorist homicides a year and is considered a 'civil war', while Iraq (with 80% less people) has over 3,000 a month and isn't considered so.
by Kishkumen on Mon Aug 07, 06 1:22pm [+]

Voted : Yes, the I agree with the General
Give that man a rubber cookie!
by Truthseeker013 on Mon Aug 07, 06 1:44pm [+]

^I think the reason conservatives are sensitive to the term "civil war" is because to admit that Iraq is now in a state of civil war means putting another failure stamp in Bush's passport.
by cranky on Mon Aug 07, 06 1:46pm [+]

^That's probably true.
by Kishkumen on Mon Aug 07, 06 2:34pm [+]

Socrates your defintion of a civil war is far to narrow to be applied to the real world.A civil war is not limitted to a war between two different political organizations in the same nation.A more reasonable definition of a civil war would be a sustained conflict between two or more factions (religious,political or ethnic) in the same nation.Let us not play down the sectarian violence using semantics and incorrect definitions.
by Corrupt on Mon Aug 07, 06 5:37pm [+]

Corrupt - If we apply your definition of "a civil war would be a sustained conflict between two or more factions (religious,political or ethnic) in the same nation.", then one could say that Iraq is having a civil war. However, using your definition it can also be argued that Thailand, Burma, Indonesia, India, Russia, China, and many more are also having civil wars. In fact, using your definition, Iraq was already having a civil war under Saddam- that is Baghdad Vs. Kurds. Of course, such a loose definition of 'civil war' does kind of play down the label.
by xxxxxxxx on Tue Aug 08, 06 9:54am [+]

cranky- "I think the reason conservatives are sensitive to the term "civil war" is because to admit that Iraq is now in a state of civil war means putting another failure stamp in Bush's passport."

I don't think so. Firstly, I am not conservative. Secondly, I am not a fan of Bush. Thirdly, I was against the Iraq war from the beginning.

If anything, it seems to me that some anti-Bush groups are overly-enthusiastic about the label 'civil war' so that they can put another failure stamp on Bush's record. Although I am not a fan of Bush or the Iraq war, I honestly do not see it as being a civil war. Even the American General you have quoted did not say it is a civil war. What he said was that it "could move toward a civil war". That pretty much sounds like my point of view: that it currently is not a civil war, but that it is increasingly having the potential to become one.

As to your dismissal of my point about organisational factors: Organisation is not important for just civil wars, but any 'war' requires organisation of at least two sides. Conflicts between nation-states clearly fit this. The Israeli-Hezbollah conflict is clearly a war. The Chinese civil war between the KMT and the CCP was clearly a civil 'war'. However, random terrorist attacks, as brutal as they are, do not necessarily constitute a civil war. Anyway, the terrorist groups in question in Iraq, are increasingly becoming organised and politicised. So a potential does exist for a civil war to take place some time in the future.
by xxxxxxxx on Tue Aug 08, 06 10:08am [+]

Socrates:

I understand what you are saying, but, I also think that Bush, Rumsfeld, etc. are soft-pedaling the present situation in Iraq. By saying it's not a civil war, they are saying that things aren't really that bad there, that a civil war would necessarily be worse. I'm saying that even if you don't call it a civil war, 3,000 dead per month is a horrible situation, regardless of what it is labeled.
by cranky on Wed Aug 09, 06 3:58am [+]

cranky- "I also think that Bush, Rumsfeld, etc. are soft-pedaling the present situation in Iraq."

- I am not American, and do not hear their speeches often at all. So you would know better than myself.
by xxxxxxxx on Wed Aug 09, 06 8:42am [+]






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