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COMMENTS:
Maybe. But in the future it woouldn't be out of superficial reasons as with Iran in this circumstance.
old news. they think it's a slap in our face. it's not. the world has used what is called a "basket of currencies" for years now. usually the dollar, the yen, the sterling and the euro. u.s currency traders do the same thing. it benefits everyone involved and helps to take the pressure off the dollar. the 3 main reserve currenices have long been the dollar, yen and sterling anyway. the dollar was just more so. iran thinks this is a big move. it's a non-event.
I wonder if the same will hold if everybody (includin china) shifted their reserve into euro. you don't think it will affect us?
by LCD on Wed Dec 20, 06 9:56am
[+]
Voted : It's possible but not probable
There's a problem with flooding the world with dollars at the current rate and with trade imbalances in favor of foreign Countries and not realizing the long range consequences coupled with an increasing arrogance and use of monetary manipulation to coerce other Countries' policies...let's hope there is no domino effect...
^ china already has shifted its reserve. the u.s has been pressuring them to do so for a long time. do you watch the currency markets? currency trading is very volotile. do you know what being the "reserve currency" means? most people wrongly assume it's a great thing because it means dollars flow into our country. it basically means that we can print money to meet demand and it does not direcly affect inflation. but it also puts an enormous burden on the fluidity of the currency policy. tradiing partners put enormous demands on us because of their dollar holdings. the united states holds massive assets in yen, euros and sterling. it's more some days, less the others. the u.s. dollar hasn't been the only reserve currency since the 1980's. look at it this way -- europe's economy is just fine, as is japan's and their currency is not an "official" reserve currency, right? you also don't understand trade then. if your biggest customer used only quarters to pay you, would you tell them "sorry, i won't take your quarters any more." no, you'd take their quarters because even though you'd prefer paper money, they're your biggest customer and you are more reliant on them then they are on you. same deal with china and the usa. like i said, non-issues.
Voted : Yes, eventually
^Yes. And the real question here is whether it is right for the United States to coerce foreign companies and other institutions to support U.S. policies that their home governments haven't approved. How would the U.S. respond if Saudi Arabia tried to coerce the Bank of America into not allowing dollar denominated funds in or out of Israel? And, if the U.S. keeps up this behavior, they could be seen as an unreliable economic partner, and more nations could shift away from the dollar, pushing another aspect of American dominance into irrelevance.
Ooops. I didnt get in there fast enough. My upward pointing carat was aimed thesoothsayer's comment.
It was not big deal when the "international" language of the world shifted from French to English. Communication is communication, but what it signaled, in terms of empire and dominance was extremely significant.
here's the deal. the world of finance is a whore. it has no political alliance. western europe, japan, the usa and in some regard china, though less so, run the world. any major changes are managed. it's not an issue of the u.s dollar no longer being the world's reserve currency. it has not been the sole reserve currency for 25 years or more. fact. fact - so many foreign interests have massive investments in the untied states that if the dollar were to suddenly collapse, they would go into a tailspin. same for us if the euro or the sterling collapsed. do you get the picture now? japan, the eu and the united states are the ones calling the shots and iran is not an issue. those 3 powers are joined at the hip and they have not national loyalty at all. they will prop each other up as necessary.
well, I haven't dealt with currency trading since college days, but here we go: World currencies are nothing but a promise to pay, with the amount equavalent to the face value of the same currency or current trade value against another currency. Suppose the trade of currency is done more in Euro rather than dollar. If nobody wants the dollar, and everybody wants the euro, naturally the value of euro increase, and the value of the dollar decrease. If the dollar is worth less, than in order to attract more people to the currency, the central bank offer higher percentage of interest, in order to prop up the currency. It works for a while, even decades, until no amount of interest will be able to attract buyer of that currency, because that country is printing more and more money in order to pay debts, which is increased because the debts must be paid in the currency of the country who loaned the money , not in the inflated paper of the borrower. at least that's my understanding of it.
by LCD on Wed Dec 20, 06 11:19am
[+]
Voted : It's possible but not probable
Current ECB policy is not conducive to holding down inflation.
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