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THE CHINA MYTH PART TWO

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THE CHINA MYTH PART TWO


[+] serious ballot by patch22us
created Wed Aug 08, 07

I'm sure you all read, like I do, many myths and misconceptions, especially about China. In my house, we call it the Dobbs Effect becuse of Lou's inability to present all the facts. But the internet has led to rampant spreading of bad information, of which some people believe and then spread.

This is not China bashing. China is an amazing, awe-inspiring culture and is one I respect and admire. But, as for China today, they're sort of getting a raw deal for a number of reasons.

1. Can you, without doing an internet search, name one brand/product that is actually Chinese (e.g. naming Western brands like Procter & Gamble, GE,Cabury-Schwepps, etc.).

2. Toyota and Honda have built huge auto plants in the United States. Why? Because it is more cost effective to have them built right here in the USA, where a majority end up anyway. Two, it helps their image and three, it's quicker to ship those Honda and Toyota's to the rest of North and South America.

QUESTION: Are those Honda and Toyota's being built in the USA American, or Japanese products? Also, those cars are made up of parts that probably came from about 10 countries, so add to that question: Are they even Japanese, per se?

3. Companies like GE, or Proctor & Gamble or Apple decide to have some of their manufacturing done in China, Mexico, the USA, India, Taiwan, etc. If the products they have built in China are being sold in China as well as being shipped out of China to the rest of Asia, are those products American, or are they Chinese? If the factory in China making them (or acutally, assembling them) for GE or Dell or Apple is paid for and owned by Dell or GE or Apple and the brand is American and the marketplace they're sold is global, should we consider those products part of China and include them in Export and Trade stats for China? Why would we? But they do and that adds to the mis-information.

4. China does make a great many consumer products, excluding the examples given above. For example, retailers like Target and Wallmart have designers and buyers. Let's say that they decide to offer all these pillows, cheap lamps, vases, etc. They go to the factory in China, which makes products for countless companies around the world and they say "Make this for us." The factory does and then ships it to Target or Wallmart and then they sell it. But the pillow, cheap lamp or vase is not really a product of China, because the buyers or designers at those stores could have designed those products themsleves, or some person in Soctland might have and presented it to Target, who then arranged to have it made and then sell it, etc. These are throw-away products that are neither needed or long-lasting. They're just disposable consumer driven products that could go out of style in a year.

Now you're probably wondering what my point is. My point is, there are so many untruths floating around that it is just clouding issues.

China isn't the powerhouse the bloggers would have us believe. Sure, they're emerging and that is fantastic, but when people say that China is "the manufacturing floor of the world" it really means that most of what they make is owned by other companies in other countries and they are only functioning as "off-shore manufacturing." At anytime, those doing the outsourcing could pull up stakes and move that function anywhere...so where would that leave China?

What are your thoughts, impressions and opinions on the topic of China?

My Comments Are As Follows


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COMMENTS:
Voted : My Comments Are As Follows
I understand all you are saying Patch and I agree,will be many many years before they get majority of their people out of poverty, but they are buying up companies left and right, on BBC the other day they reported that in 3 years, China will out spend the USA in research and development of new products.
by larrynelmira on Wed Aug 08, 07 10:44am [+]

^Maybe I didn't really answer the ballot questions , if companies did pull out anytime in the near future , that would be a problem for China.

by larrynelmira on Wed Aug 08, 07 11:04am [+]

What companies are they buying up? See, you hear that, but what are they? Now the fact is, they are entering into major partnerships with many westerc companies, like Thomspson/RCA, which is French and they have deals with Motorola, but buying up companies? Which ones?
by patch22us on Wed Aug 08, 07 11:49am [+]

Sorry, as for R&D yes, they may ver well outspend us on that level, but I'd be suspect on that. Are you familiar with Intelectual Property Theft? Google it and China and so some research. China for example, will take intelectual property, copy it and pirate copies are all over China. So someone writes a "How to Book" and it is copywrited. In China, they will just translate the book, print it and sell it, without ever giving credit or without ever paying the rightful fees, etc. So on R&D, I'm sorry to say, they steal what they can. I don't see them wanting to actually spend money on R&D. I know the government of China is trying to crack down on it, but the "they" is because it is systemic in China. They are not yet ready to play by the rules.
by patch22us on Wed Aug 08, 07 11:53am [+]

Here is a good example. In China, if they do it, it's okay. But if a western country tries to block China on any issues, then that Western country is "retaliating."

From a CNN Expose:

But increasingly, Chinese companies are benefiting from nationalist feeling, gaining market share in sectors such as passenger cars and consumer electronics that were previously the exclusive province of foreign companies. The 2008 Olympics in Beijing will likely add more kindling to this nationalist spark.

The government is also making an effort to reduce dependence on foreigners for manufacturing and technology transfer. Preferential tax rates for foreign companies - now at 15 percent, compared with 33 percent for Chinese - are set to end this year. And last fall the Communist Party Congress endorsed a push for "Chinese innovation" by doubling the amount spent on R&D.

To help reduce China's dependence on foreign companies, Beijing has set a target of 60 percent for domestic car brands sold by 2010, largely by providing consumer financing and incentives. Today, Chinese-branded cars claim little more than 20 percent of a market dominated by Buicks, Volkswagens and Toyotas. But in March, Chery sold more cars in China than any other automaker.

Foreigners also are being kept from buying major stakes in industries deemed sensitive to government interests, including cement, soybeans and finance. While such moves are viewed as retaliation for the U.S. refusal to let China National Offshore Oil Corp. buy Unocal in 2005, they have been strengthened by economic nationalism and entrenched as policy.

by patch22us on Wed Aug 08, 07 12:01pm [+]

My beef with China is not being a superpower, my beef with them is their human rights violations. It can't stay that with rudimentary (more than rudimentary free markets). They're human rights violations are just appaling.
by aya on Wed Aug 08, 07 12:17pm [+]

I hear this almost weekly on BBC, of China buying companies in Europe and other parts of the world, IBM personal computer division Maytag for example,others I can't remember, not something I'm really interested in so the company names didnt' stick in my head, but just this morning they reported China's Lenovo is in talks with Packard Bell BV, the Europe-based computer maker. I get all this from BBC, not like I'm hearing it on the street.

"don't see them wanting to actually spend money on R&D.patch"
The report was from BBC that in 3 years they will outspend the USA, which currently spends most on R&D

Are you familiar with Intelectual Property Theft

Yes, I'm familiar with that.

Maybe BBC is wrong, I dont know, as I said never really gave it a lot of thought , I'm just saying what I hear reported.


by larrynelmira on Wed Aug 08, 07 12:18pm [+]

I'm not saying what China is doing is fair trade, I hate their human rights records, I hate the outsourcing of jobs , I hate Walmart and other companies that ignore the Human rights and working conditions in China , and disappointed with consumers for buying so much useless junk made there.
by larrynelmira on Wed Aug 08, 07 12:23pm [+]

Pefect examples. Shows why news "bites" never give the whole or right story. The bid for Maytag was withdrawn.

"NEW YORK (MarketWatch) - Shares of Maytag Corp. sank Wednesday after a consortium of China's Qindao Haier Ltd. and two U.S. equity partners abandoned its bid to buy the American household appliance manufacturer."

They were blocked from buying UNOCAL.

They bought only the Laptop division from IMB and I don't think it's working out they way they had hoped.

I promise I'm not picking on you Larry, but it proves my point that the frenzy is spilling into mainstream media like CNN and the BBC.
by patch22us on Wed Aug 08, 07 12:35pm [+]

^okay
by larrynelmira on Wed Aug 08, 07 12:51pm [+]

I know you aren't picking on me patch, I just wrote what I heard reported, I never did any research myself, you have the statistics , so I'll give you the benifit of the doubt, no problem ;)
by larrynelmira on Wed Aug 08, 07 12:57pm [+]

Part of it is the Geek in me, but also partly because I have to go the extra mile in news since I tend to have an issue with attention. So for me, if I hear something on the news, I usually have to investigate it more and that is what led me to realize how frenzied the media is. It's sort of become a mission of mine to sort through all the Bulls**t in the mainstream news to get to the truth.
by patch22us on Wed Aug 08, 07 1:17pm [+]

I have a problem with the fact that we are handing over our cash to the communist regime. the same regime that has nukes pointed at us right now.

When a business produces product in USA to sell to americans, they have to meet certain rules, such as product safety and minimum wage. If they want to sell the product here, they should meet the same criteria, that's only fair to american producers of goods.

US companies should allow chinese citizens to come to US and produce goods here, and pay US taxes and consume US services, rather than making a communist regime flush with cash and make them more powerful.

Freedom should rule. Commies suck :(
by LCD on Wed Aug 08, 07 1:37pm [+]

Let me ask you this: Who made all of those products before China? They were good paying jobs held by Americans. Its like the auto factory jobs being shipped to Mexico. What happened to the workers who use to have those jobs in the US? There aren't and weren't high paying jobs with good benefits just laying around for these workers. They got screwed. Just check out Detroit and you will see what happened.

You look at one side of the equation. Yes, they are American companies and yes, this apparently helps them be more profitable. That's all fine and dandy if you own the company or own stock in the company. Its not cool if you used to do that job and the job got shipped to China. People used to be told that the US would shift to a high tech economy. Now, that's not really true. Jobs that require technical expertise such as programming and design of computer parts are often done completely without any American involvement. Lets not even talk about customer service jobs. That used to be one of those promised new fields for those who used to work in industry. Now it isn't. You are much more likely to talk to someone in India with poor English skills than an American.

You miss the whole point of what bloggers and others say. Tell me what the average American gets out of this outsourcing. They lose their job, find one that pays less and then buy products and food from China that is toxic and poisonous. You also get a situation where both parents have to work, many people are doing worse off at this point than their parents and a continued drain of good jobs elsewhere.

Its all short-term gain. It used to be that the captains of industry wanted American companies with American workers to be the best in the world. The thought of shipping jobs off to a communist or dictator run company would have been seen as treasonous.
by TinCan on Wed Aug 08, 07 1:57pm [+]

Tincan, I'm not sure why your reply is so presumptive. You are reading much more into my ballot and subsequent comments than is the reality.

I don't know why you are approaching this from the perspective of "YOU!!" as if I have stated one way or the other my feelings on the issues you raise. I don't believe I have. I have presented a ballot that seeks to bring to light the fact that the media frenzy surrounding the "China issue" is in fact, perpetuating baseless facts and half-truths. You reference bloggers and indeed, I have an issue with people who garner their news from blogs, because very often, it is pure nonsense. I try to get my facts from multiple news sources, as well as people who are well known experts in international trade, finance and manufacturing.

So while I appreciate your input and respect your opinions, it seems to me you are making assumptions about my perspective and they happen to be wrong.
by patch22us on Wed Aug 08, 07 2:19pm [+]

I would also suggest, TinCan, that you research manufacturing stats for the United States. You will find the trend has been that automation has displaced workers, but that American manufacturing facilities are actually ahead of the pace they were in the late 1940's and 1950's. Further, you may just find that the numbers of jobs lost to outsourcing, are now in the White Collar sector of manufacturing, and not on "the floor." Just a suggestion though.
by patch22us on Wed Aug 08, 07 2:21pm [+]

Voted : My Comments Are As Follows
Facts:

China has overtaken the US as the no 1 polluter

China will overtake the US economy as the biggest economy within 10 years at current growth rates (mainly financed by the US)

They wont even admit how much they spend on military, but they have more trained soldiers than anyone, by a long shot, (what is more effective? an apache helecopter or 1000 men with an RPG)

Human rights? what human rights

they build poor quality junk that is dumped on our shores

once resources get more scarce, i know where they will find them, north America, south america & austrailia

better brush up on your mandirin



by ABC on Wed Aug 08, 07 3:15pm [+]

ABC, those are not facts at all. This is what I'm talking about. You presented the baseless hype as fact, but nothing to back it up and it's quite wrong.
by patch22us on Wed Aug 08, 07 3:30pm [+]

"China will overtake the US economy as the biggest economy within 10 years at current growth rates (mainly financed by the US)"


Wrong. China is not nearly at that pace and they are at least 30 years away from equalling the EU or the USA in terms of economy. The TRUE economy of China hovers at around $5 trillion. The USA has an economy approaching $14 trillion and the entire EU is about $12 trillion. The USA adds approximately $420 billion per year to the economy and China adds roughly $450 billion to it's economy per year. In 10 years, that puts the U.S. economy at $18.2 trillion and the EU at about $16 trillion and...it puts China at about $9.5 to $10 Trillion. Research it. Back out their trade data on manufactured and exported goods that are not theirs and you'll see the reality.
by patch22us on Wed Aug 08, 07 3:34pm [+]

according to the CIA world fact book,
GDP
USA 13,130,000,000,000
EU $ 13,060,000,000,000
China $ 10,170,000,000,000

at a growth of 10%/year less the 3% the US is growing at they will catch up in as little as 4 years

the only article i couldnt find is the pollution one

all the other things stated i cant see where the argument is
by ABC on Wed Aug 08, 07 4:14pm [+]

The CIA Factbook? Okay, didn't you see this fact in there on China:

GDP (official exchange rate):
$2.518 trillion (2006 est.)
by patch22us on Wed Aug 08, 07 4:36pm [+]

And the U.S. economy grows at about 3.5% - 4% annually. Avoid the CIA Factbook or at least research other sources that are focused on economies, etc.
by patch22us on Wed Aug 08, 07 4:37pm [+]

ABC, this is from China's embassy. Granted it's 2004 data for 2003, but here is their GDP for 2003:

hina's gross domestic product (GDP) in 2003 hit 11.694 trillion yuan (US$1.414 trillion), up 9.1 per cent over the previous year, the National Bureau of Statistics said Tuesday.

The Link: http://ph.chineseembassy.org/eng/sgdt/t83718.htm


Accordig to Xinhua News, in 2005 their economy was:

"China's GDP reached 18 trillion yuan in 2005, or 2.23 trillion U.S. dollars, the fourth largest in the world."

I pointed out they add about $450 billion annually, so they went from $1.414 trillion in 2003 to about $2.23 trillion in 2005 (an increase of $816 billion in 2 years, or about $408 billion per year).

Holding true to that growth, it would mean in 2006 they went to about $2.60 trillion and by end of 2007 to maybe $3 Trillion.
by patch22us on Wed Aug 08, 07 4:51pm [+]

the GDP #'s are listed in US $, if every site can contradict another then we both know nothing
by ABC on Wed Aug 08, 07 6:37pm [+]

ok, you got me, and as far as the cia factbook goes, its inaccurate i can see that just by looking at what #'s they have on canada
by ABC on Wed Aug 08, 07 6:41pm [+]

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