user ballots
Login
Register
Add One
FAQ/Contact
Popular Ballots
Recent Popular
Recent Votes
Best
Worst
Yes or No
Choices
What If
Prediction
Advice
Would You
Crime
Recommend
Quiz
TV & Movie
Music & Radio
Political
Science
Sports
Relationship
Techonology
Culture
Philosophy
Religion
Ethics
History
Food & Health
Fashion & Beauty
Crime
FanBase
Discussion
Bug Report
|
COMMENTS:
Perhaps more importantly, while exit polling is unreliable, the odds of President Bush having gaining an advantage from every exit poll in swing states is an extremely improbable coincidence.
In Florida, Bush led exit polling by CNN of more than 3 million voters by just 5355 votes. Yet he led by 326,000 in the end result. This morning, CNN changed their exit polling to favor Bush, saying that had overweighted African American voters.
In Wisconsin, where exit polls put Kerry up seven percent, Bush has a lead of one percent, an unexplained difference of eight percent.
In New Mexico, Kerry led Bush by 3.8 percent, yet Bush leads Kerry by 3 percent in actual reported voting.
In Minnesota, where a new law sharply restricts reporters access to polls, Kerry led 9.6 percent in exit polling. Actual voting counts found that Bush trailed by 5 percent, with a 5 percent discrepancy favoring Bush.
Ohio, which does have paper trail, and some electronic voting, exits showed Kerry and Bush in a dead heat; in the near-final results, Bush led by three percent.
Exit polls put Kerry up by 8 percent in Michigan; actual results show Bush trailing by just 3 percent.
Two states with mandated paper trails for electronic voting were within 0.1 percent margin of error.
New Hampshire, which has electronic voting but provides verified receipts, exit polling is within 0.1 percent of the actual vote. Kerry led by 3 percent in exit polling, and 2.9 percent in the actual vote.
Nevada, which also has electronic voting and mandated paper trails, had a variance of 0.1 percent as well. Kerry led the actual vote by 1.3 percent; the exit polls had him up by 1.2 percent.
Kerry does not gain by any significant margin in actual voting in any state for which analysis has been conducted
Exit polling accurately predicted the results in most states with very little error.
The exit polling was skewed to discourage voters to go to the poll and vote for Bush. It didn't work assholes. Nice try lefties.
Seriously, exit polls really messed it up in 2000. Those same exit polls you think really hurt Kerry this time destroyed Gore chances last time. If the networks had (GASP) relied on the ACTUAL votes then they wouldn't have originally called Florida for Bush thus putting Gore at a distinct disadvantage.
The point is that it isn't the reponsibility of the press to "call" elections. The people call them with their votes and that is what should be reported.
Also, statistically, exit polls are the most unscientific.
The freemasons rigged it to coincide with the Mayan calendar.
That is truly funny Applerod.
Hello BMN????? Where the hell were you for the exit polling in 2002? It was SERIOUSLY wrong in predicting the winners that year. Not to mention the fact that the exit polls this year were leaked early on the internet, before the polls had even closed.
Take a look at the following NY Times article for a more detailed explanation:
http:// www.nytimes.com /2004/11/05/ politics/campaign/ 05poll.html
(Take out the spaces in the addy)
Walter ??????
All up Ill go with what i posted on Steelhamsters last ballot , the armbands one.
Greg Palast article , International observers and other stuff that will emerge.
A different one is
It's not even Election Day yet, and the Kerry-Edwards campaign is already down by a almost a million votes. That's because, in important states like Ohio, Florida and New Mexico, voter names have been systematically removed from the rolls and absentee ballots have been overlookedoverwhelmingly in minority areas, like Rio Arriba County, New Mexico, where Hispanic voters have a 500 percent greater chance of their vote being "spoiled." Investigative journalist Greg Palast reports on the trashing of the election.
Greg Palast, contributing editor to Harper's magazine, investigated the manipulation of the vote for BBC Television's Newsnight. The documentary, "Bush Family Fortunes," based on his New York Times bestseller, The Best Democracy Money Can Buy, has been released this month on DVD .
John Kerry is down by several thousand votes in New Mexico, though not one ballot has yet been counted. He's also losing big time in Colorado and Ohio; and he's way down in Florida, though the votes won't be totaled until Tuesday night.
Through a combination of sophisticated vote rustlingethnic cleansing of voter rolls, absentee ballots gone AWOL, machines that "spoil" votesJohn Kerry begins with a nationwide deficit that could easily exceed one million votes.
The Urge To Purge
Colorado Secretary of State Donetta Davidson just weeks ago removed several thousand voters from the state's voter rolls. She tagged felons as barred from v ...
|
|
